What are the odds?

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Giza's picture
"100% usynlig - som en ninja!"

Location: Ardmore, PA

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Blog: [Link]

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Over in this thread, someone wrote:

Because, wherever you are- there IS a possibility of you getting hurt/mugged/raped/killed. Its' just statistically higher in cities. Thats why they're so scary to folks.

This may be true on a statistical level, but let's keep the risks in perspective. shall we?

Here are some examples, courtesy of Pittsburgh's very own Tribune Review:

Odds of getting hemorrhoids: 1 in 25

Odds of being audited by the IRS: 1 in 175

Odds of dating a millionaire: 1 in 215

Odds of dying from any kind of injury during the next year: 1 in 1,820

Odds of injury from using a chain saw: 1 in 4,464

Odds of being considered possessed by Satan: 1 in 7,000

Odds of being murdered: 1 in 18,000

Odds of dying from a car accident: 1 in 18,585

Odds of injury from fireworks: 1 in 19,556

Odds of dating a supermodel: 1 in 88,000

Odds of being attacked by a dog: 1 in 131,890 (fursuiters excluded)

Odds of dying in an airplane accident: 1 in 354,319

Odds of being struck by lightning: 1 in 576,000

Odds of dying in a fireworks accident: 1 in 1,000,000

Odds of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564

Odds of becoming a saint: 1 in 20,000,000

So.. I guess the moral of the story is that you should eat lots of fiber and hire a good accountant. That, and Satan is about 3 times as dangerous as any murderer on the street. o.O

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Verdauga's picture
"Kitty without a Clue!"

Location: So Cal, California, USA

Website: [Link]

Quote:
Odds of being attacked by a dog: 1 in 131,890 (fursuiters excluded)

Whats the odds if fursuiters are included?

Tiger kitty ready for AC, at your service,
Verdauga

danny wolf's picture
"life's jouny is not to arrive at the grave well preseved, rather to skid in side ways shouting holy fuck what a ride. "

Location: covington ohio

Website: [Link]

you know what i am so showing this to my mom, she keeps telling me that i am going to get shot. so i think this will calm her down alittle thank for the help
d

Lmai's picture
Location: Winterpeg Manitoba Canada

Website: [Link]

Odds of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564

o.0 Shpla?

Exkhaniber's picture

*smart-butt comment removed*.

*second smart-butt comment removed*

-There is no truth

Giza's picture
"100% usynlig - som en ninja!"

Location: Ardmore, PA

Website: [Link]
Blog: [Link]

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This thread is still commentable.

Try harder! Eye-wink

Exkhaniber's picture

Well I initially said some things I shouldn't have. And I couldn't find the delete button for my own post, so I edited out what I said. Smiling Funny enough, I did it twice in one post. I just hope nobody on here was getting email alerts to every posting.

-There is no truth

Lmai's picture
Location: Winterpeg Manitoba Canada

Website: [Link]

In other words, it is probably a good thing I did not see your comments before you Changed them?

I'm curious what my confused comment contained that warrented a rude or cruel response.

Exkhaniber's picture

Oh no, there was nothing rude or cruel directed towards you in there, nor towards anyone else in the fandom. In fact the comment was simply a joke about hot water. Let's just leave it at that.

-There is no truth

Lmai's picture
Location: Winterpeg Manitoba Canada

Website: [Link]

Ahh lol ok ^.^

Xyloart's picture
Website: [Link]

I'm assuming it's refering to people electricuting themselves in the tub or whatever. Sad

frankenshoe.com

NallTWD's picture
Location: Boston, MA

Website: [Link]

Actually kinda glad my number came up on the chainsaw injury as opposed to some of those others... Not a bad one mind you, but a sweet scar ^.^

RappyRaptor's picture
Location: Dartmouth, Nova Scotia

1 in 20 000 000 in becoming a saint? I like those odds, I was worried at first.

Nova Scotia's Raptor, Rappy!
Aim: Velociraptor9o
msn:
yim: raptor_90

Kaze Lionpawz's picture
"The mind is a dangerous place, I try to stay out of it."

Location: Philadelphia, PA, USA, Earth, Milky Way,

Odds of dying in an airplane accident: 1 in 354,319

Why you you post that knowing i good majority of us intend to fly to ac? Even if the odds are like that, it's still pretty scarry.

Giza's picture
"100% usynlig - som en ninja!"

Location: Ardmore, PA

Website: [Link]
Blog: [Link]

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Considering that the odds of dying in an automobile accident are 1 in 18,585, or about 20 times higher, I'd be much more worried about driving to the con.

Oddly enough, I will be driving to the con this summer. Sticking out tongue

Exkhaniber's picture

I've personally flown about...by now...I'd say 80 times. (I'm a dragon, how do you expect me to get around?)

I'd say I've flown already more times than most people do in their entire lives. I'm still here and talking, aren't I?

And considering that the same graph you point to also demonstrates that in fact you are more likely to get killed in a random injury (presumably at home, you spend the most time there and that is where most accidents happen). Also it shows you are more likely to die driving to the airport.

Besides, you can't live life paranoid right? Get out there and enjoy it! Each day only happens once you know.

-There is no truth

Verdauga's picture
"Kitty without a Clue!"

Location: So Cal, California, USA

Website: [Link]

I would be willing to bet lots of money that the odds of dying on a USA or Canada flight are much much higher.

Tiger kitty ready for AC, at your service,
Verdauga

SimbaLion's picture
"Audio / Video"

Location: Chicago, IL

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Flying is safer than walking on a sidewalk. Gotta keep these things in perspective Smiling

Steve Hopps aka "Simba Lion"
Anthrocon 2007 A/V Director
http://www.anthrocon.org/
E-Mail: smblion@anthrocon.org

mapdark's picture
"Happiness is simple : Spaghettis , love and sleep ^^"

Location: Montreal , Quebec , Canada

Considering the attendance is about 3000 people ..

so the chances are .17 people are going to get murdered this summer ..

So they'll lose a finger or something..

ArtSlave's picture
"Custom Fursuits: www.artslave.biz"

Location: DelMarVa

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OMG my fingernail..
..its been MURDERED!

Carl's car wasn't killed, meatwad. Car's can't be killed. This car.. was murdered. By meteors!

Xyloart's picture
Website: [Link]

Of course, there are always things you can do to make your odds go up or down. If I count my cat as a dependent I'm probably much more likely to be audited by the IRS. If I'm saying horrible things in latin and trying to punch myself in the face I'm probably much more likely to be considered possessed by satan. And if I'm walking around with my pockets full of bacon and taunting angry looking dogs...you get the point. Sticking out tongue The dating a millionaire thing though...no clue there. o.o
frankenshoe.com

RappyRaptor's picture
Location: Dartmouth, Nova Scotia

Allright Giza, if the odds of dieing in a plane crash are 1 in 354,319, what are the odds of 'surviving' a plane crash as appose to surviving a car crash Eye-wink

Nova Scotia's Raptor, Rappy!
Aim: Velociraptor9o
msn:
yim: raptor_90

Giza's picture
"100% usynlig - som en ninja!"

Location: Ardmore, PA

Website: [Link]
Blog: [Link]

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About 56%, or just over half, from what I was able to find.

I also found this awesome article that contains airplane crash survival tips from the FAA. It was a pretty educational read.

As for surviving car crashes... I tried searching for those odds, but the websites for law firms kept coming up as the top results. o.O

RappyRaptor's picture
Location: Dartmouth, Nova Scotia

I'm told its usually the fire that kills alot of the passangers, not the impact itself.

Nova Scotia's Raptor, Rappy!
Aim: Velociraptor9o
msn:
yim: raptor_90

CopperFangHusky's picture
"What I'm? it's a difficult question, What I feel? it's easier...(sorry for my pour english)"

Location: Chile

Website: [Link]

Don't worried, every day are good for die... If the probabilities of an T-Rex could eat me, are 1 in 65000000, and I must go to heaven ( or hell for defect) I will be this 1 in 65000000... ah other thing If you have a plushy doggy and could bite me. its inside of the statistics???. =3

fenrislorsrai's picture
Location: Bethel, CT

Website: [Link]

Oddly I knew someone in high school that was struck by lightning. Twice. Both times were walking across an open field carrying water for her horse.

You'd think she'd have learned the first time...

Kaze Lionpawz's picture
"The mind is a dangerous place, I try to stay out of it."

Location: Philadelphia, PA, USA, Earth, Milky Way,

After that i guess i feel better about flying even though i live in philly, it's just too much of a pain to drive to take a bus, i can't sit still for more than 2 hours let alone the 6-8 hours drive or bus ride. Thanks Giza >^_^<

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